Analyst predicts good iPhone, iPad, Apple Watch, Mac holiday sales for Apple

In a note to clients — as noted by — KGI Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo estimates between 70-75 million iPhone and 3.5-4 million Apple Watch shipments during the first quarter of the 2016 fiscal year, which encompasses the holiday shopping season in the U.S., Australia, Canada, Europe and many other regions. Following are some highlights of his forecast:

  • iPhone shipments rose 2.1% quarter-over-quarter and 23.6% year-over-year to 48.5 million units in the third quarter of 2015, of which 20-22 million units were iPhone 6s models.
  • Between 14.5-15.5 million iPads and 5.4-5.6 million Macs will ship fiscal quarter one of 2016, a three-month period ending Dec. 31. 
  • iPad Pro shipments will tally about two million in fiscal Q1 2016. The tablet’s higher selling price will help offset an annual decline in iPad shipments, which could fall 16% percent to 40-42 million units in 2016.
  • Amid lackluster sales for PCs, Mac sales will continue to be better than those of competitors. The 13.3-inch MacBook Pro is Apple's most popular laptop, followed by the 12-inch MacBook.
  • New iMacs with 4K and 5K Retina displays will account for at least 50-60 percent of total iMac shipments in Q1 2016 of the fiscal year.